American Economic Review
1850 1958 1963 1964 1973 1975 1977 1980 1981 1982 1985 1986 1987 1988 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
I Just Ran Two Million Regressions [статья]
Опубликовано на портале: 14-07-2005Xavier Sala-i-Martin American Economic Review. 1997. Vol. 87. No. 2. P. 178-183.
In this paper I try to move away from the Extreme Bounds method of identifying "robust" empirical relations in the economic growth literature. Instead of analyzing the extreme bounds of the estimates of the coefficient of a particular variable, I analyze the entire distribution. My claim in this paper is that, if we do this, the picture emerging from the empirical growth literature is not the pessimistic "Nothing is Robust" that we get with the extreme bound analysis. Instead, we find that a substantial number of variables can be found to be strongly related to growth.
Опубликовано на портале: 02-11-2007Christopher D. Carroll, Jody Overkand, David N. Weil American Economic Review. 2000. Vol. 90. No. 3. P. 341-55.
Saving and growth are strongly positively correlated across countries. Recent empirical evidence suggests that this correlation holds largely because high growth leads to high saving, not the other way around. This evidence is difficult to reconcile with standard growth models, since forward-looking consumers with standard utility should save less in a fast-growing economy because they know they will be richer in the future than they are today. We show that if utility depends partly on how consumption compares to a ‘habit stock’ determined by past consumption, an otherwise-standard growth model can imply that increases in growth can cause increased saving