Journal of Financial Economics
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Выпуск N1 за 1993 год
Опубликовано на портале: 03-12-2007
Steven L. Jones
Journal of Financial Economics.
1993.
Vol. 33.
No. 1.
This paper reconciles the relative pricing controversy between DeBondt and Thaler
(1985, 1987), Chan (1988), and Ball and Kothari (1989). The negative autocorrelation
in long-horizon index returns, along with the selection criterion of the contrarian
strategy, can explain the positive covariance between time-varying betas and risk
premiums. However, test-period beta estimates reflect the reversal of earnings expectations
associated with underlying factors. The controversy thus reduces to the debate of
Fama and French (1988) and Poterba and Summers (1988) over the source of the temporary
price components in the market index. Rational changes in expected returns and cash
flows explain most of the cross-sectional variation in returns

