Экономика » Экономика отраслевых рынков » Аграрная экономика » Рынки агропродовольственной продукции
Всего публикаций в данном разделе: 2
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Опубликовано на портале: 28-11-2003
Ирина Безлепкина
2002
This study analyses the causal factors of fall in Russian farm output focusing on
financial
determinants. Translog production function is estimated on panel of 17653 large-scale
farms for
1996-1998 period using fixed-effects and accounting for inter-regional climate differences.
Output
elasticities are analysed for sub-samples of crop and animal producing farms. The
reserarch findings
show that budget transfers to the farms are inefficient and result in taxation of
farms. Farms are
operating under the soft budget constraints that have to be removed to improve farm
production
performance.


Опубликовано на портале: 24-12-2003
Catherine Benjamin, Chantal Gueguen, Magalie Houee
Durban, 2003
Previous quantitative assessments of likely impacts of recent reforms of the Common
Agricultural Policy (in
particular the Agenda 2000) differ across empirical studies. Differences
are mainly due to the ways the
policy instruments are taken into account (explicit modeling or implicit
modeling i.e. using ad-valorem
equivalents). The aim of this paper is to assess empirically the impacts
of recent reforms of the Common
Agricultural Policy and the consequences of the Mid-Term proposals on world cereals
markets. We develop
an econometric, dynamic, multi-product, partial equilibrium commodity model that
focuses on arable crops.
Major exporters and major importers are modeled separately, other countries being
included in a rest of the
world category. For the countries or regions explicitly integrated the model estimates
supply, demand and
trade. The model we develop has two important features:
i) the parameters estimated in the behavioral equations (supply and demand) satisfy regularity conditions and
ii) the agricultural policy instruments (in particular CAP instruments) are modeled in an explicit way.
In the empirical section, attention focuses on the world cereals market. We provide a market outlook through the year 2009 for three different scenarios: baseline projections and two scenarios based on different assumptions regarding the evolution of the Common Agricultural Policy (the Mid-Term Review scenario and the decoupling scenario). Estimated effects of the mid-term scenario on EU crop prices depend on the relationship between EU and world market prices.
i) the parameters estimated in the behavioral equations (supply and demand) satisfy regularity conditions and
ii) the agricultural policy instruments (in particular CAP instruments) are modeled in an explicit way.
In the empirical section, attention focuses on the world cereals market. We provide a market outlook through the year 2009 for three different scenarios: baseline projections and two scenarios based on different assumptions regarding the evolution of the Common Agricultural Policy (the Mid-Term Review scenario and the decoupling scenario). Estimated effects of the mid-term scenario on EU crop prices depend on the relationship between EU and world market prices.

