Экономика » Экономика отраслевых рынков » Аграрная экономика » Международная торговля агропродовольственной продукцией
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Опубликовано на портале: 29-11-2003
Huan Niemi
2002
The EU dairy sector will be one of the most sensitive sectors to be affected by the
outcome of the on-going negotiations for the new WTO round for agriculture. Nevertheless,
if
the Next WTO Round is going to be along the same lines as the Uruguay Round, the
EU may
be able to stay within the WTO commitments for export subsidy in the dairy sector
without
further reforms in the Common Agricultural Policy. Certainly, some minor reforms
are
needed to relieve the binding commitments for cheese and other milk products. The
upcoming
reform in the dairy sector under Agenda 2000 starting from year 2005 may help in
reforming the dairy sector for the new round. In contrast, a steeper reduction in
the export
subsidy commitments compared to the Uruguay Round may cause problems for cheese and
other milk products because the majority of exports in these products will have to
be exported
without any export subsidy. After enlargement, in particular with a steeper reduction
formula,
the EU may face troubles in the categories of butter, skim milk powder, cheese, and
other
milk products. The reforms under Agenda 2000 may not be sufficient because the difference
between the EU internal market price and world market price is still too high for
EU dairy
products to allow unsubsidised exports to the world market. The EU internal market
will have
to absorb the dairy products intended for the export market. Consequently, the EU
internal
market for dairy products will be under pressure for further price reduction, and
the EU world
market share in dairy products will shrink.

