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Drazen Allan

Обновлено: 09-12-2010
Дата рождения 30 августа 1950 г.
Образование магистр: Economics [Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1972]
PhD: Economics [Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1976]
Место работы University of Maryland / Professor of Economics, Berglas School of Economics, Tel-Aviv University,

Профессиональные интересы:
Political economy in macroeconomics
Electoral Determinants of Economic Policy

Публикации:
ПОСЛЕДНИЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЯ:
http://www.tau.ac.il/~drazen/papers.html

Where Does the Political Budget Cycle Really Come From? (with Adi Brender), July 2003

Government Gains from Self-Restraint: A Bargaining Theory of Inefficient Redistribution Policies (with Nuno Limao), June 2003

Mixed Signals in Defending The Exchange Rate: What Do the Data Say? (with Stefan Hubrich), June 2003

Conditionality and Ownership in IMF Lending: A Political Economy Approach, July 2002

"Laying Low" During Elections: Political Pressure and Monetary Accommodation, November 2001

Do Crises Induce Reform? Simple Empirical Tests of Conventional Wisdom,Economics and Politics, July 2001

Interest Rate Defense Against Speculative Attack as a Signal: A Primer, February 25, 2001

The Political Business Cycle After 25 Years, May 2000, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000

Interest Rate and Borrowing Defense Against Speculative Attack, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 53, 2000.

What Is Gained By Selectively Withholding Foreign Aid?, April 1999

Interest Rate Defense Against Speculative Attack Under Asymmetric Information, February 24, 1999

Uncertain Duration of Reform: Dynamic Implications,(joint with Guillermo Calvo), Journal of Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol 2, no. 4 (December 1998).

Political Contagion in Currency Crisis,(March 1998).

Towards a Political-Economic Theory of Domestic Debt, in G. Calvo and M. King, eds., The Debt Burden and its Consequences for Monetary Policy, Macmillan: London, 1998.

Policy Signaling in the Open Economy: A Re-Examination, in H. Wolf, ed., Contemporary Economic Development Reviewed, vol. 5, Macroeconomic Policy and Financial Systems, Macmillan: London, 1997.




СТАТЬИ
“Government Debt, Human Capital and Bequests in a Life-Cycle Model,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 86, No. 3 (June 1978).

“The Optimal Rate of Inflation Revisited,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 5, No. 2 (April 1979).

“On Permanent Effects of Transitory Phenomena in a Simple Growth Model,” Economics Letters, Vol 3, No. 1 (1979).

“Recent Developments in Macroeconomic Disequilibrium Theory,” Econometrica, Vol 48, No. 2 (March 1980).

“The Permanent Effects of Inflation on Development and Choice of Production Technique,” in Development in an Inflationary World, A. Razin and J. Flanders, (ed.), Academic Press: New York, 1981.

“Inflation and Capital Accumulation Under a Finite Horizon,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 8, No. 2 (September 1981).

“Unemployment in LDC's: Worker Heterogeneity, Screening, and Quantity Constraints,” World Development, Vol. 10, No. 2 (December 1982).

“The Variable Employment Elasticity Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence,” (co-authored with Daniel Hamermesh and Norman Obst), Research in Labor Economics, Vol. 6, (1984).

“Tight Money and Inflation: Further Results,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 15, No. 1 (January 1985).

“A General Measure of Inflation Tax Revenues,” Economics Letters, Vol. 17, No. 4 (1985).

“State Dependence in Optimal Factor Accumulation,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 100, No. 2 (May 1985).

“Cyclical Determinants of the Natural Level of Economic Activity,” International Economic Review, Vol. 26, No. 2 (June 1985).

“Optimal Minimum Wage Legislation,” Economic Journal, Vol. 96, No. 3 (September 1986)..5

“Reciprocal Externality Models of Low Employment,” European Economic Review, Vol. 31, No. 1/2 (February/March 1987).

“Stabilization with Exchange Rate Management,” (co-authored with Elhanan Helpman), Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 102, No. 4 (November 1987).

“Inflation, Indexation and Wage Dispersion,” (co-authored with Daniel Hamermesh), Economics Letters, Vol. 25, (1987).

“Future Stabilization and Inflation,” (co-authored with Elhanan Helpman), in Finance Constraints, Expectations, and Macroeconomics, M. Kohn and S.C. Tsiang, (ed.), Oxford University Press: Oxford, 1988.

“Stabilization with Exchange Rate Management under Uncertainty,” (co-authored with Elhanan Helpman), in Economic Effects of the Government Budget, E. Helpman, A. Razin, and E. Sadka (ed.), MIT Press: Cambridge, MA., 1988.

“The Effect of Policy Anticipations on Stabilization Programs,” (co-authored with Elhanan Helpman), European Economic Review, Vol. 32, No. 2 (May 1988).

“Self-Fulfilling Optimism in a Trade Friction Model of the Business Cycle,” American Economic Review, Vol. 78, No. 2 (May 1988).

“On the Organization of Rural Markets and the Process of Economic Development,” (co-authored with Zvi Eckstein), American Economic Review, Vol. 78, No. 3 (June 1988).

“Monetary Policy, Seigniorage, and Capital Controls in an Open Economy,” in A European Central Bank?, M. de Cecco and A Giovannini (ed.), Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 1989.

“The Persistence of Unemployment in a Dynamic Insider-Outsider Model,” (co-authored with Nils Gottfries) in Advances in the Theory and Measurement of Unemployment, G. Fishelson and Y. Weiss (ed.), Macmillan: London, 1990.

“Inflationary Consequences of Uncertain Macroeconomic Policy,” (co-authored with Elhanan Helpman), Review of Economic Studies, vol. 57, no. 1 (January 1990).

“Threshold Externalities in Economic Development”, (co-authored with Costas Azariadis), Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 105, no. 2 (May 1990). Reprinted in Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence (International Library of Critical Writings in Economics), Hants, U.K.: Edgar Elgar, 1996.

“Can Restrictions on Banking Replace Fiscal Austerity?,” in Aspects of Central Bank Policymaking, Z. Eckstein (ed.), Springer-Verlag, 1991..6

“Why are Stabilizations Delayed?,” (co-authored with Alberto Alesina), American Economic Review, Vol. 81, no. 5 (December 1991). Reprinted in T. Persson and G. Tabellini, Monetary and Fiscal Policy, volume 2: Politics, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1994. Reprinted in F. Sturzenegger and M.Tommasi, The Political Economy of Reform, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998.

“Endogenous Business Cycles with Self-Fulfilling Optimism: A Model with Entry,” in Chaos and Cycles in Economic Equilibrium, J. Benhabib (ed.), Princeton University Press: Princeton NJ, 1992. (This is a revised and extended version of the May 1988 AER paper).

“Trigger Points and Budget Cuts -- Explaining the Effects of Fiscal Austerity,” (co-authored with Giuseppe Bertola), American Economic Review, Vol. 83, no. 1 (March 1993).

“The Benefits of Crises for Economic Reform,” (co-authored with Vittorio Grilli), American Economic Review, Vol. 83, no. 3 (June 1993). Reprinted in F. Sturzenegger and M.Tommasi, The Political Economy of Reform, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998.

“Endogenous Fertility in Models of Growth,” (co-authored with Costas Azariadis), Revista de Analisis Economico, Vol. 8, no. 1 (June 1993).

“Will Government Policy Magnify Capital Flow Volatility?,” (co-authored with Giuseppe Bertola), in Leiderman, L. and A. Razin, (eds.), Capital Mobility: The Impact on Consumption, Investment and Growth, Cambridge University Press, 1994.

“Seniority Rules and the Persistence of Unemployment,” (co-authored with Nils Gottfries), Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 46, no. 2 (April 1994).

“Credibility of Policies versus Credibility of Policymakers,” (co-authored with Paul Masson), Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 109, no. 3 (August 1994).

“The Political Economy of Delayed Reform,” Journal of Policy Reform, Vol. 1, no. 1 (June 1996). (Published in Russian as “Pochemu Otkladibayutsa Reformi, Teoriticheski Analiz” (Why are Reforms Postponed?, Theoretical Analysis) Economica i Matematicheskiye Metodi, vol. 31, no. 3, 1995.) Reprinted in F. Sturzenegger and M.Tommasi, The Political Economy of Reform, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998.

“Capital Account Liberalization as a Signal,” (joint with Leonardo Bartolini), American Economic Review, Vol. 87, no. 1 (March 1997).

“When Liberal Policies Reflect External Shocks, What Do We Learn?,” (joint with Leonardo Bartolini), Journal of International Economics, Vol. 42, no 3-4 (May 1997)..7

“Policy Signaling in the Open Economy: A Re-Examination,” in H. Wolf, ed., Contemporary Economic Development Reviewed, vol. 5, Macroeconomic Policy and Financial Systems, Macmillan: London, 1997.

“Towards a Political-Economic Theory of Domestic Debt,” in G. Calvo and M. King, eds., The Debt Burden and its Consequences for Monetary Policy, Macmillan: London, 1998.

“Uncertain Duration of Reform: Dynamic Implications,” (joint with Guillermo Calvo), Journal of Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol 2, no. 4 (December 1998).

“Revelation Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment,” (joint with Plutarchos Sakellaris), Journal of Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 3, no. 3 (September 1999).

“Central Bank Independence and the Political Business Cycle,” in M.I. Blejer and M. Skreb, eds., Major Issues in Central Banking, Monetary Policies, and Implications for Transition Economies, Cambridge University Press, 1999.

“Political Contagion in Currency Crises,” in P. Krugman, ed., Currency Crises, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2000

“Interest Rate and Borrowing Defense Against Speculative Attack,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 53, 2000.

“The Political Business Cycle After 25 Years,” NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Cambridge MA: MIT Press, 2000.

“Do Crises Induce Reforms? Some Empirical Tests of Conventional Wisdom” (joint with William Easterly), Economics and Politics, Vol 13, no. 2 (July, 2001).

“How Does Politics Affect Economic Outcomes? Insights from “New” Political Economy”, The Political Economist, Spring 2001.

“Interest Rate Defense Against Speculative Attack as a Signal: A Primer,” Managing Currency Crises, Chicago: University of Chicago Press (for NBER), 2002.

“Central Bank Independence, Democracy, and Dollarization” Journal of Applied Economics, Vol. 5, no. 1 (May 2002).

“Conditionality and Ownership in IMF Lending: A Political Economy Approach” IMF Staff Papers (Special Issue), Vol. 49 (2002)..8

B. Comments, Book Reviews, and other Publications Review of Blinder, Toward an Economic Theory of Income Distribution, in Journal of Business, Vol. 51, No. 3 (July 1978).

Review of McKinnon, Money and Finance in Economic Growth and Development, in Journal of Political Economy, Vol 87, No. 4 (August 1979).

“Disequilibrium Dynamics with Inventories and Anticipatory Price Setting: Discussion,” European Economic Review, Vol. 16, No 1 (May 1981).

“Stabilization Policy in Open Economies -- Introductory Remarks,” European Economic Review, Vol. 32, No 2 (May 1988).

“On the Organization of Rural Markets and the Process of Economic Development: Reply,” (co-authored with Zvi Eckstein), American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 5 (December 1989).

“Indexation and Maturity of Government Bonds: Discussion,” in Public Debt Management: Theory and History, R. Dornbusch and M. Draghi (ed.), Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 1990.

“Can Severe Fiscal Contractions be Expansionary?: Comment,” in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1990, O.J. Blanchard and S. Fischer (ed.), MIT Press: Cambridge, MA., 1990.

“Budget Deficits and Government Accounting: Comment,” in Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series, vol 37, December 1992.

Review of Alesina, Roubini, and Cohen, Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy, in Journal of Economic Literature, June 1999.



Публикации на портале:
Книги Статьи
Домашняя страница http://www.tau.ac.il/~drazen/
E-mail drazen@post.tau.ac.il
Телефон (972) 3 640-9488 (Office-Tel Aviv), (301) 405-3477 (Office-Maryland)
Факс (972) 3 640-9908 (Office-Tel Aviv)
Адрес Eitan Berglas School of Economics
Tel Aviv University
Ramat-Aviv, Tel-Aviv 69978 ISRAEL

Department of Economics
University of Maryland
College Park, MD 20742

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