на главную поиск contacts

Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Опубликовано на портале: 16-11-2004
NBER Working Paper Series. 2000.  w7750.
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included variables. The weights applied to individual regressions are justified on Bayesian grounds in a way similar to the well-known Schwarz criterion. Of 32 explanatory variables we find 11 to be robustly partially correlated with long-term growth and another five variables to be marginally related. Of all the variables considered, the strongest evidence is for the initial level of real GDP per capita.

текст статьи на сайте NBER:
Ключевые слова

См. также:
Евгений Всеволодович Балацкий
TERRA ECONOMICUS. 2017.  Т. 15. № 2. С. 40-56. 
Вячеслав Валентинович Дементьев, Александр Петрович Щербаков
TERRA ECONOMICUS. 2017.  Т. 15. № 3. С. 75-91. 
Леонид Эдуардович Лимонов, Марина Васильевна Несена
Общественные науки и современность. 2016.  № 1. С. 63-79. 
Рута Банелене, Борисас Мелникас, Роландас Страздас, Елигиус Толочка
TERRA ECONOMICUS. 2018.  Т. 16. № 4. С. 66-76.