HIV/AIDS AND PRIMARY SCHOOL PERFORMANCE IN TANZANIA / доклад на 25 конференции IAAE, Reshaping Agriculture’s Contribution to Society, International Convention Centre, Durban, South Africa, 16-23 August 2003
Опубликовано на портале: 30-11-2003
2003
Тематические разделы:
We examine the performance of the primary school education system in Tanzania over
the 1990s - a decade
characterized by substantial AIDS deaths. Given the relatively robust correlation
between educational
attainment and productivity established in the literature in both agricultural
and non-agricultural sectors,
human capital accumulation through education forms a major component of
development strategy. At the
same time, AIDS poses clear threats to the goal of human capital accumulation through
education. To assess
performance of the primary school system, we estimate non-stationary education transition
matrices using a
minimum cross entropy approach at the national, sub-national, and regional
levels for girls, boys, and all
students. Results indicate a deterioration in primary school performance
using enrollments in grade 7, the
final year of primary school, as a metric. This deterioration in performance occurred
despite increased real
resource allocations to the public education system and positive, if only
tepid, overall economic growth
trends. We conclude that the HIV/AIDS pandemic has quite likely slowed human
capital accumulation in
Tanzania.
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